Tasmania vs Victoria, MODC 2026-27, Today Match Prediction

TSC vs VAC Match Prediction & Analysis

Tasmania will host Victoria at the Bellerive Oval in Hobart in the 11th match of the Australia Domestic One-Day Cup 2026-27. The tournament is back after a week’s break, and both teams will be keen on gaining momentum right off the bat.

Victoria had lost two consecutive matches before going into the break. Whereas Tasmania finished with 2 wins from 3 matches, led by some brilliant bowling performances.

This will be the first match of the season to be played at the Bellerive Oval. The hosts will be aiming for a stronger batting comeback. Tim Ward and Jordan Silk will be crucial in the middle order.

For the visitors, the top and middle order have been out of form since the last couple of matches. The lack of runs from the top 5 batters is a major concern. Matthew Short, Thomas Fraser Rogers, and Peter Handscomb are the key players who must step up and deliver impactful partnerships.

Will the struggling Victorians find their form and post a competitive total against the in-form Tasmanian bowling attack?

RECENT PERFORMANCE

TSC

W L W W L

NSW

158/10 in 26.0 6.08

MODC 2026-27

Tasmania beat New South Wales by 57 runs (D/L) method 13 Oct 2026

TSC

203/10 in 29.1 6.96

SAC

383/7 in 50.0 7.66

MODC 2026-27

South Australia beat Tasmania by 7 runs 23 Sep 2026

TSC

376/8 in 50.0 7.52

WAC

115/10 in 30.2 3.79

MODC 2026-27

Tasmania beat Western Australia by 9 wickets

20 Sep 2026

TSC

117/1 in 16.2 7.16

TSC

198/10 in 58.1 3.4

SSD

Tasmania beat Queensland by 140 runs 14 Mar 2026

QSL

221/10 in 82.1 2.69

TSC

118/10 in 20.3 5.76

MOC

New South Wales beat Tasmania by 4 wickets 11 Mar 2026

NSW

119/6 in 20.0 5.95

VAC

L L L W L

VAC

241/10 in 43.5 5.5

MODC 2026-27

South Australia beat Victoria by 70 runs 12 Oct 2026

SAC

344/10 in 49.3 6.95

VAC

244/10 in 84.3 2.89

SSD

South Australia beat Victoria by 40 runs 07 Oct 2026

SAC

508/10 in 135.3 3.75

VAC

212/10 in 44.5 4.73

MODC 2026-27

New South Wales beat Victoria by 47 runs 25 Sep 2026

NSW

257/10 in 48.5 5.26

QSL

335/7 in 50.0 6.7

MODC 2026-27

Victoria beat Queensland by 3 wickets

19 Sep 2026

VAC

339/7 in 49.5 6.8

VAC

261/10 in 91.0 2.87

SSD

South Australia beat Victoria by 56 runs 26 Mar 2026

SAC

139/10 in 49.5 2.79

HEAD TO HEAD

TEAMS PREVIEW

Tasmania Preview

Tasmania ended on a high note before the season went for a week-long break. Despite a poor batting performance where they were bowled out for 203 runs batting first in a 30-over-game,  the Jordan Silk-led team did exceptionally well to clinch a victory by 56 runs against New South Wales.

There were plenty of changes to the bowling attack from their previous matches. Riley Meredith, Beau Webster, and Matthew Kuhnemann were all out of the side in the last game. They were a crucial part of the bowling department and delivered some game-changing spells in the first two outings, back in September.

Webster and Kuhnemann have joined the Australian squad on tour of South Africa for the Tests. Thomas Stewart Rogers, Raf MacMillan, and Jack Montgomery will be key players in the bowling attack for Tasmania. They delivered impressive spells in their last win and will be expected to lead them against the visitors in this home game.

The batting lineup is quite impressive, with the likes of Caleb Jewell and Ben McDermott in the top 3, followed by Tim Ward and Jordan Silk at 4 and 5. There is plenty of firepower in the top 5, and we expect them to deliver strong partnerships to set the stage for a big score.

Interesting Stats

Opening batsman Will Prestwidge scored 71 off 56 balls in his last outing

Skipper Jordan Silk scored 142 runs at number 5 in a losing cause against South Australia

In their recent win, Tasmania reduced the opposition from 101 for 3 to 117 for 7 within a span of 5 overs

Tasmania Predicted Playing XI:

Caleb Jewell, Will Prestwidge, Bradley Hope, Ben McDermott (wk), Tim Ward, Jordan Silk (c), Nivethan Radhakrishnan, Aidan O’Connor, Thomas Stewart Rogers, Raf MacMillan, Jack Montgomery

Tasmania Actual Playing XI:

Jordan Silk, Jake Doran, Caleb Jewell, Nikhil Chaudhary, Mitchell Owen, Will Prestwidge, Raf MacMilllan, Aidan O'Connor, Jack Montgomery, Thomas Rogers, Tim David

Victoria Preview

Victoria must find a way to start winning matches before it becomes a long losing streak. Their batting isn’t in good shape, and despite a 3-week gap between their second and third match of the season, Victoria failed to turn things around with the bat.

In their second outing of the season, they were bowled out for 210 runs while chasing 248 against NSW. And in their last match against South Australia in Melbourne, the hosts beat Victoria by 70 runs while defending a 311-run total.

Olive Peake scored a fifty at number 5 in that run-chase and became the only top 5 batsman in this lineup to score a fifty so far this season. Opening batter Matthew Short had scored 46 in the previous outing against NSW while Blake Macdonald was the second-highest run-scorer in that innings with 45 off 46 at number 4.

Victoria’s best performance came in their opening game against Queensland when they chased down a 336-run total with 3 wickets in hand. Hugo Burdon at number 4 and Dylan Mclachlan at number 7 were the top performers.

As they take on a strong Tasmanian bowling attack, Victoria need their top order to come good. Short and Thomas Fraser Rogers will be crucial in delivering a strong start, while skipper Peter Handscomb must ensure he stays at the crease longer to build partnerships with Peake and Blackford.

They also have Glenn Maxwell in the lower order who’s gone quite unnoticed, scoring just 7 and 12 at number 7 in the last two innings. In the absence of Scott Boland and Will Sutherland, Fergus O Neill and Austin Anlezark will be leading the bowling for Victoria.

Interesting Stats

Peake and Blackford scored 114 runs for the 5th wicket in the last match.

After the 5th-wicket partnership ended, the rest of the batting lineup folded for just 42 runs.

Fergus O Neill delivered two quick wickets at the top in the last outing and finished with 3 for 47.

Victoria Predicted Playing XI:

Matthew Short, Thomas Fraser Rogers, Campbell Kellaway, Peter Handscomb (c), Oliver Peake, Liam Blackford (wk), Glenn Maxwell, Sam Elliott, Fergus O Neill, Doug Warren, Austin Anlezark

Victoria Actual Playing XI:

Will Sutherland, Mitchell Perry, Liam Blackford, Thomas Fraser Rogers, Austin Anlezark, Ollie Peake, Campbell Kellaway, Peter Handscomb, Todd Murphy, Matthew Short, Matt Hennig

PITCH AND WEATHER CONDITIONS

Weather Conditions

There will be light rain early in the morning, followed by showers late in the evening. However, the forecast is for partly sunny skies during the match with a high of 18 degrees Celsius. We don’t expect any weather interruptions during this game, but the overcast conditions in the afternoon could help the swing bowlers find movement through the air with the new ball.

TSC vs VAC Pitch Report

It is a balanced pitch at the Bellerive Oval that offers something for both batters and bowlers at different stages in the match. Batters will find great help early on in the game, while pacers will be delighted with the pace and bounce the surface offers. The average first innings score in the last 10 one-day matches played on this ground is 279 runs. Anything below 280 runs will not be safe on this ground. In five of the last 6 matches, the team batting first scored below 300 and lost on four of those occasions.

Toss: To Bowl

In the last 6 one-day matches played at this venue, which included two women’s ODIs, the chasing team has emerged victorious on 4 occasions. Given that this will be the first match of this season to be played here, we expect a good wicket that will stay true throughout the match and allow for good stroke-making even in the second innings. Bowling first will be the preferred choice for the captain winning the toss.