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Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe, ICC WCT20 2026, Today Match Prediction
SL vs ZIM Win Probability
Toss Winner - Sri Lanka won the toss and choose to bat first
Zimbabwe beat Sri Lanka by 6 wickets
Can Zimbabwe flip the script and take down an in-form Sri Lanka?
- Kusal Mendis is Sri Lanka’s top-scorer in this T20 World Cup with 168 runs in three matches at a strike rate of 134.
- Sri Lanka’s spinners Maheesh Theekshana and Dunith Wellalage have picked up nine wickets in three games.
- Brian Bennett scored a match-winning 64 off 56 against Australia in Colombo last week.
Sri Lanka are our picks for the winners of this match.
| Tournament: | ICC Men's T20 World Cup, 2026 |
| Format: | t20 |
| Venue: | R. Premadasa International Cricket Stadium, Colombo, Sri Lanka |
| Toss Prediction: | To Bowl |
| Weather: | 31.4°C|Partly cloudy |
SL vs ZIM Live Prediction
SL vs ZIM Match Prediction & Analysis
Sri Lanka face Zimbabwe in the 38th match of the 2026 ICC Men's T20 World Cup in Colombo. The hosts have already sealed a Super 8 berth after pulling off a memorable victory over Australia, which has taken them to the top spot in Group B. They will look to wrap up their group campaign with another win and carry that confidence forward. Zimbabwe have also booked their place in the next round with five points from three games to sit second in the table. However, they face a stern test against Sri Lanka in their own backyard. All things considered, Sri Lanka go into this clash as strong favorites to secure the win.
SL vs ZIM Betting News
Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe, 38th T20 Match, Men's T20 World Cup 2026 Special Bets
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RECENT PERFORMANCE
SL
W
W
W
L
L
SL
189/5 in 20.0 9.45
ENG vs SL 2026
England beat Sri Lanka by 6 wickets (D/L) method173/4 in 16.4 10.38
ZIM
W
W
L
L
L
ZIM
HEAD TO HEAD
Last 8 Matches
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TEAMS PREVIEW
Sri Lanka Preview
Sri Lanka came into this T20 World Cup off the back of some disappointing results, but they've now advanced to the Super 8 stage with three consecutive wins. The last one was an incredible demolition of Australia, where they hunted down 182 with two overs left on the clock.
Pathum Nissanka, who had been quiet in the tournament's opening games, finally delivered a masterclass with an unbeaten 100 off 52 balls to seal victory against the Aussies. He and Kusal Perera give Sri Lanka aggressive starts at the top of the order, with Nissanka especially looking to go after Zimbabwe's bowling attack in the powerplay.
Through the middle overs, Kusal Mendis will be expected to do most of the scoring again after his smooth 51 off 38 against Australia in the previous game. Kamindu Mendis and Dasun Shanaka can contribute during that phase and provide the big shots from overs 15 through 20.
With the new ball, Dushmantha Chameera will be hunting early wickets. Chameera has been in excellent form this season, taking five wickets across three matches in this World Cup. His matchup with Brian Bennett, Tadiwanashe Marumani, and Ryan Burl could decide how many runs Zimbabwe will manage to score.
Spinners Dunith Wellalage and Maheesh Theekshana will also be important on this surface and will aim to strangle Zimbabwe's middle order, just like they did to Australia. Matheesha Pathirana picked up an injury in the last match and will probably be replaced by Pramod Madushan for this game.
Sri Lanka Predicted Playing XI:
Pathum Nissanka, Kusal Perera, Kusal Mendis(w), Pavan Rathnayake, Dasun Shanaka(c), Kamindu Mendis, Dushan Hemantha, Dunith Wellalage, Dushmantha Chameera, Maheesh Theekshana, Pramod Madushan
Sri Lanka Key Players From Previous Game Of ICC Men's T20 World Cup, 2026
Sri Lanka Actual Playing XI:
Pathum Nissanka, Pavan Rathnayake, Dasun Shanaka, Kamindu Mendis, Dunith Wellalage, Kusal Mendis, Kusal Perera, Maheesh Theekshana, Pramod Madushan, Dushan Hemantha, Dilshan Madushanka
Zimbabwe Preview
Zimbabwe's game against Ireland being abandoned before the toss gave them enough points to qualify for the Super 8s alongside Sri Lanka. They have been in fine form through the group stage, with the win over Australia being the clear standout, and will want to take that confidence into the next phase.
Brian Bennett and Tadiwanashe Marumani open the batting, and the two of them complement each other well, mixing solid starts with the ability to score quickly. Bennett has been in great touch, scoring 112 runs in two games at a strike rate of 122.
Ryan Burl and captain Sikandar Raza anchor the middle order, and both are experienced enough to read an innings and shift gears at the right time. Burl has been hitting the ball well and can be relied on for a useful 20 or 30 to keep things ticking along.
Brad Evans and Blessing Muzarabani will handle most of the pace bowling, and between the two of them have picked up 13 wickets. They mix up their length and pace well, which makes them difficult to get away, and they'll be looking to stop the Sri Lankan batters from settling into any kind of groove.
Wellington Masakadza and Sikandar Raza should come into their own on these slow surfaces and can squeeze the run rate with their consistent lines.
ZIM Over/Under Betting Tips
Brian Bennett Total 4's Over 3.5 @ 2.20
Brian Bennett has smashed a total of 14 fours this world cup, averaging 7 fours per match. He is the leading run-scorer for Zimbabwe and play's a really safe game maneuvering the ball into the gaps and is more of a boundary hitter. You can bank on him to hit 3 or more fours in this must win fixture against Ireland on a good batting track at Pallekele where the outfield is lightning fast.
Tadiwanashe Marumani Total Runs Over 15.5 @ 1.85
The young left-handed batter is making quite an impression at the top of the order for Zimbabwe. He has already played a couple of handy knocks, scoring 21 against Oman followed by a solid 35 against Australia. He possesses a sound technique and is equally adept at playing both fast and spin bowlers. Considering his form in the tournament so far, he is a bankable player to score over 15.5 runs in today's match against Ireland.
Brian Bennett Total Runs Over 24.5 @ 1.85
Brian Bennett scored a match winning knock of 64 runs in 56 balls against Australia and before that in the first match against Oman he managed to score 48* runs in 36 balls. In both the matches he has remained unbeaten and steered his side home to victory. He will be aiming to carry his good run of form against Ireland and his runs at the top will be crucial for Zimbabwe in a crucial match.
Zimbabwe Predicted Playing XI:
Brian Bennett, Tadiwanashe Marumani(w), Dion Myers, Sikandar Raza(c), Ryan Burl, Tony Munyonga, Tashinga Musekiwa, Brad Evans, Wellington Masakadza, Graeme Cremer, Blessing Muzarabani
Zimbabwe Actual Playing XI:
Tashinga Musekiwa, Dion Myers, Brian Bennett, Brad Evans, Tony Munyonga, Tadiwanashe Marumani, Graeme Cremer, Wellington Masakadza, Blessing Muzarabani, Ryan Burl, Sikandar Raza
PITCH AND WEATHER CONDITIONS
Weather Conditions
Expect warm and fairly humid conditions through the afternoon with temperatures near the low-30s °C. There’s a good chance of cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms or showers around the time your 3 PM start and into the evening, so skies may remain unsettled with periodic rain possible.
SL vs ZIM Pitch Report
Pitch Condition
BalancedBatting Conditions
Moderate ScoringPace Bowling
SwingSpin Bowling
High Turn
The surface at R Premadasa Stadium usually supports scores around the 160-170 mark, with things getting tougher for batters as matches progress. Over the last eight T20Is here, no team has gone past Australia's 182-6 against Ireland during this T20 World Cup. If Sri Lanka gets to bat first, they'll be looking at something in the 180-190 region. Zimbabwe, batting first, would probably consider 170 a good total to chase down.
Total Over/Under Betting Tips
Sri Lanka to win the coin toss @ 1.90
We back Sri Lanka to win the coin toss in today's match against Zimbabwe.
Toss: To Bowl
Rain is on the cards, so the captain who wins the toss should opt to field first. Cloud cover is expected to help the seamers get movement early on, and if the DLS method is required, teams batting second usually find the chase easier to manage.
SL vs ZIM
Winning Prediction
Sri Lanka will want to wrap up the group stage with another victory and carry that form into the Super 8. After their impressive win over Australia, confidence would be running high in the camp. Plus, playing at home gives them an extra edge. The spinners should cause problems for Zimbabwe's batting lineup.
Zimbabwe have performed superbly so far, and have shown they can take down big teams, like they did with Australia, but this surface won't make life easy for their batters. Brian Bennett, Sikandar Raza, and Ryan Burl must take charge of the scoring against Maheesh Theekshana and Dushmantha Chameera rather than letting those bowlers settle into a rhythm. Without aggressive batting from that trio, Sri Lanka ought to prevail given how much better they adapt to these conditions and their current form.
Sri Lanka are our picks for the winners of this match.
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