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South Africa vs Australia, SA vs AUS, Today Match Prediction
RSA vs AUS Win Probability
Toss Winner - Australia won the toss and choose to bowl first
South Africa won by an innings and 31 runs
Can Rabada’s return spark a South African fightback against the visitors?
- Josh Hazlewood picked up eight wickets in the first Test, taking his tally against South Africa to 44 wickets in 10 matches.
- South Africa has 7 wins and 2 losses in the last 10 games played at Gqeberha.
- Matthew Renshaw scored 190 and 82 in the first Test.
We predict that Australia will beat South Africa.
| Tournament: | Australia tour of South Africa, 2026 |
| Format: | test |
| Venue: | Saint George's Park, Gqeberha, South Africa |
| Toss Prediction: | To Bat |
| Weather: | 17.4°C|Cloudy |
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RSA vs AUS Match Prediction & Analysis
After suffering a crushing 214-run defeat in the series opener, South Africa will look to bounce back against Australia in the second Test at St George's Park, Gqeberha from 18th October. The match is scheduled to start at 1:30 pm IST. South Africa have won seven of their last 10 Tests at St George’s Park, making the venue a strong advantage for the hosts.
South Africa will look to bounce back in the second Test against Australia with changes to their batting line-up and the return of Kagiso Rabada. Tristan Stubbs has been dropped after scores of 32 and 1 in Durban, with Matthew Breetzke brought into the squad as his replacement. Surprisingly, Aiden Markram, who scored 75 in the second innings, missed both training sessions, raising concerns over his availability. Rabada's return could provide a significant boost to the bowling attack as the hosts look to level the series.
The defending WTC champions have won three of their five Tests so far and are at third place in the points table. Australia have strengthened their position at the top of the 2025–27 World Test Championship standings, winning nine of their 11 Tests so far to maintain a points percentage of 81.82.
South Africa will take confidence from their previous meeting with Australia at St George’s Park in 2018, when they levelled the series with a six-wicket win. Kagiso Rabada starred with a match haul of 11 wickets, including a six-wicket return in the second innings, while AB de Villiers’ unbeaten 126 helped the hosts establish a first-innings lead. Chasing 101 for victory, South Africa completed the task with six wickets in hand, with Rabada earning Player of the Match honours.
RECENT PERFORMANCE
RSA
L
W
W
W
L
RSA
333/10 in 113.4 2.93
PAK vs SA 2025
South Africa beat Pakistan by 9 wickets73/1 in 12.3 5.84
378/10 in 110.4 3.42
PAK vs SA 2025
Pakistan beat South Africa by 93 runs183/10 in 60.5 3.01
AUS
W
W
L
W
L
AUS
198/10 in 53.0 3.74
AUS vs BAN 2026
Bangladesh beat Australia by 9 wickets426/10 in 138.0 3.09
152/10 in 45.2 3.35
The Ashes, 2025-26
England beat Australia by 4 wickets178/6 in 32.2 5.51
HEAD TO HEAD
Last 2 Matches
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TEAMS PREVIEW
South Africa Preview
South Africa will look to bounce back after suffering a 214-run defeat to Australia in the first Test in Durban. The defeat was Temba Bavuma's first as Test captain after 11 wins and a draw in his first 12 matches in charge. The hosts were bowled out for 284 in their first innings, with David Bedingham top-scoring with 49. He also added 46 in the second innings along with the 75 from Markram. SA lost the game by 214 runs.
Aiden Markram will open the innings with Ryan Rickelton. Markram scored 112 runs in the first test. Markram averages 60.66 against Australia with 728 runs in 6 games. This includes 3 centuries and 2 half-centuries. He will be the batter to watch out for. Rickelton managed to score just two runs. But he is all set to take the wicket-keeping glows under the absence of Tristan Stubbs. David Bedingham will come in at number three. Bedingham added 49 in the first innings followed by 46 in the second.
Temba Bavuma will come in the middle with Wiaan Mulder and Matthew Breetzke. Since taking the captaincy, Bavuma has 1017 runs in 13 games at an average of 48 with 3 centuries and 6 half-centuries. Mulder has 828 runs in the last 8 tests at an average of 61. Mulder also picked up 4 wickets in the last game.
Marco Jansen will lead the bowling attack with Kagiso Rabada, Anrich Nortje, and Keshav Maharaj. Jansen scored 61 in the first game and picked up 4 wickets. Rabada’s return has boosted SA’s hopes. He has taken 58 wickets in 11 Tests against Australia, at an average of 21.39. He will be the bowler to watch out for. Nortje has 11 wickets in 6 innings against Australia. He has a great record playing at home. In 8 games, he has picked up 39 wickets in SA.
Key Players: Kagiso Rabada, Aiden Markram, Wiaan Mulder
South Africa Predicted Playing XI:
Aiden Markram, Ryan Rickelton, David Bedingham, Temba Bavuma (c), Matthew Breetzke, Wiaan Mulder, Kyle Verreynne (wk), Marco Jansen, Simon Harmer, Keshav Maharaj, Anrich Nortje.
South Africa Key Players From Previous Game Of Australia tour of South Africa, 2026
South Africa Actual Playing XI:
Temba Bavuma, Simon Harmer, David Bedingham, Kagiso Rabada, Anrich Nortje, Aiden Markram, Ryan Rickelton, Marques Ackerman, Wiaan Mulder, Marco Jansen, Matthew Breetzke
Australia Preview
Australia managed to look past their defeat in the final of the last WTC. Australia will look to build on their dominant 214-run victory. Nic Maddinson and Travis Head will open the innings. Maddinson made a quickfire 48 in the second innings on his Test comeback after nearly a decade. Head has 814 runs in the last 10 tests at an average of 42. Against SA, he now has 3 half-centuries in 7 innings.
Marnus Labuschagne will come in at number three. Labuschagne scored 37 runs in each of the innings of the first test. He has struggled for consistency over the last two years, scoring 1,396 runs in 29 Tests at an average of 29.1. His record against South Africa has also been modest, with 148 runs in four Tests at an average of 29.60, including one half-century and a highest score of 79.
Steven Smith will come in the middle with Matt Renshaw , Alex Carey †, and Beau Webster . Smith has scored 1,010 runs in Tests since 2025 at an average of around 50.50, including 3 centuries. Against South Africa, he has accumulated 985 runs in 14 Tests at an average of approximately 39.40, with two centuries and five half-centuries. Renshaw scored career best 190 runs in the first innings followed by 82 in the second. He also claimed two wickets in South Africa's second innings.
Pat Cummins will lead the bowling attack with Starc and Hazelwood. Josh Hazlewood dismantled South Africa's batting line-up with a career-best 6 for 49, bowling them out for 206 to seal the win in the first test. He now has 44 test wickets in 10 games against SA. Starc has 50 while Cummins has 52 wickets against SA in 10 games. Cummins also scored 77 runs in the first test. Lyon will be the only sinner in the squad. He has 58 wickets in 20 tests against SA.
Key Players: Steven Smith, Matt Renshaw, Starc .
Australia Predicted Playing XI:
Travis Head, Nic Maddinson, Marnus Labuschagne, Steven Smith, Matt Renshaw, Alex Carey (wk), Beau Webster, Pat Cummins (c), Mitchell Starc, Nathan Lyon, Josh Hazlewood.
Australia Key Players From Previous Game Of Australia tour of South Africa, 2026
Australia Actual Playing XI:
Travis Head, Marnus Labuschagne, Matt Renshaw, Steven Smith, Beau Webster, Alex Carey, Pat Cummins, Scott Boland, Josh Hazlewood, Mitchell Starc, Nic Maddinson
PITCH AND WEATHER CONDITIONS
Weather Conditions
The weather in Gqeberha is expected to be cloudy on match days, with temperatures ranging from 24 to 31 degrees Celsius. Winds will blow from the southeast at 6-10 km/h. The rain is expected on day one. It is a batting-friendly pitch in the first innings.
RSA vs AUS Pitch Report
The match will be played at St George's Park, Gqeberha from 18th October. The match is scheduled to start at 1:30 pm IST. The average first innings score is 313, 75 more than the second innings. South Africa beat Australia by six wickets at this ground in March 2018, with Kagiso Rabada taking 11 wickets in the match — 5/96 and 6/54. England’s 499/9 declared in 2020 was the highest innings total at the venue during this period.
Toss: To Bat
Across 33 Tests, teams batting first have won 15 matches, while teams bowling first have won 13. Five Tests ended in draws. Yet batting first gives an advantage of adiing runs quickly. The team winning the toss should bat first.
RSA vs AUS
Winning Prediction
Australia won the first Test by 214 runs in Durban — their biggest Test victory over South Africa by runs since 1912. They have won 11 of their last 12 Tests since the 2025 WTC final, according to Australia's team preview, underlining their current run of form. Though Markram has an average of 60 against Australia, his track record in the second game of any series is very poor (average - 22).
Sri Lanka and England are the only 2 teams to win on this ground in the last 10 occasions. The ground’s highest successful Test chase is 271/8 by Australia against South Africa. The average fourth-innings total is just 159, suggesting that batting last can be challenging.
We predict that Australia will beat South Africa.
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