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San-en NeoPhoenix vs Toyama Grouses, B. League, Japan 2025-26, Today Match Prediction

Toyohashi City General Gymnasium

Can San-en NeoPhoenix outclass Toyama Grouses? 

  • San-en average 86.1 points per game and allow 83.5, while Toyama average 80.9 and allow 88.9.
  • San-en shoot 46.5% from the field and 35.0% from three, while Toyama sit at 43.7% and 29.7%.
  • San-en post 21.8 assists with a 1.9 assist-turnover ratio, compared with Toyama's 19.4 assists and 1.4 ratio.

Tournament: B. League, Japan 2025-26 | Venue: Toyohashi City General Gymnasium | Tip Off: 15:35:00

Live Streaming: B.LEAGUE

San-en NeoPhoenix to win and cover the spread (-14.5).


San-en NeoPhoenix vs Toyama Grouses Basteball Odds

Bookmaker Team A Team B
1xBet 1.07 7.00

Teams Preview

San-en NeoPhoenix

San-en NeoPhoenix arrive with a cleaner overall profile and the stronger recent finish. Their latest 86-68 win over Ryukyu highlighted the same pattern seen across the season - balanced scoring, better shot quality, and a defense that can keep opponents out of rhythm. On the night, David Nwaba led the way with 26 points, 12 rebounds and 6 assists, while Yante Maten added 17 points and 9 rebounds. That is the kind of two-way production that gives San-en a stable base when the game tightens.

The season numbers back that up. San-en are ahead in scoring, assists, field goal percentage and three-point volume, and they also turn the ball over less often than Toyama. The weakness is on the glass, where Toyama hold the edge in total rebounds. That means San-en cannot drift into a soft defensive rebounding game. If Nwaba and Maten stay efficient, and if the guards keep the ball moving, San-en can control the shot profile and force Toyama into a chase game.

Toyama Grouses

Toyama Grouses come in with a very different statistical shape. Their latest 92-89 win over Sendai showed fight and late-game scoring, but the season numbers remain less convincing. Trey Kell III carried that match with 37 points, 12 rebounds and 8 assists, which underlines how much of Toyama's offense still runs through one primary creator. Nyika Williams and Brock Motum provide support, but the attack can look narrow when Kell is forced to carry too much of the load.

Toyama's upside is on the boards, where they average more rebounds than San-en, and that gives them a route to staying competitive. The problem is the efficiency gap. Their field goal percentage, three-point percentage and assist-turnover ratio are all below San-en's marks, while they also concede more points per game. That is a poor mix against a side that already owns the head-to-head edge. Toyama need a disciplined half-court performance, strong second-chance work, and a cleaner shot selection profile to stay in range.

San-en NeoPhoenix vs Toyama Grouses Starting Lineups

Position Player Name
PG Ryusei Shinoyama
SG Keita Imamura
SF Elias Harris
PF Yuma Fujii
C David Dudzinski
Position Player Name
PG Trey Kell
SG Naoki Uto
SF Brock Motum
PF Eugene Phelps
C Nyika Williams

San-en NeoPhoenix enter this one with the stronger standing position and more urgent need to protect it. Sitting 5th in the Western Conference, they are in a far better place than Toyama, who remain stuck much lower in the table. That gap matters because San-en also own the cleaner season profile - more points scored, fewer points allowed, better shooting, and better ball movement. Their recent win over Ryukyu also showed that they can handle opponents without relying on one explosive quarter. In a game like this, the home side has the more reliable structure and the better chance of dictating tempo.

Toyama's best argument is rebounding and the scoring punch of Trey Kell III, but that is not enough to offset the wider efficiency split. San-en's higher field goal rate, better three-point output, and stronger assist numbers point to a more stable offense, while Toyama's 88.9 points allowed is a serious warning sign against a team that already beat them repeatedly. If Toyama cannot slow the game and dominate the glass, the edge stays with San-en. 

San-en NeoPhoenix are 5th in the Western Conference with a 33-22 record, maintaining playoff positioning. Toyama Grouses sit 13th at 14-41, struggling near the bottom. The gap reflects consistent performance differences and a clear advantage for San-en.

San-en NeoPhoenix have dominated recent meetings, winning all five head-to-head matchups against Toyama Grouses. Across these games, San-en average 98.6 points, while Toyama average 73.2. The combined average stands at 171.8 points per game.

San-en NeoPhoenix vs Toyama Grouses Player Stats

Player Name Points Rebounds Assists Steals/Blocks
David Nwaba 20.4 7.6 4.0 1.9/1.2
Trey Kell 22.8 6.7 4.3 1.5/0.3

San-en NeoPhoenix enter with stronger scoring efficiency, better ball movement, and a dominant head-to-head record. Toyama’s defensive struggles and reliance on one scorer limit their edge. The overall matchup balance favors the home side.

San-en NeoPhoenix to win and cover the spread (-14.5).

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Author: Eeshan Chettri