Italy vs USA, FIBA Women's Basketball World Cup 2026, Today Match Prediction

Italy vs USA Basteball Odds

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Italy

Italy Women began their FIBA Women’s Basketball World Cup 2026 campaign with a hard fought 63-54 victory over Czechia, securing their first World Cup win in more than 30 years. After trailing 32-31 at halftime, Italy improved defensively and controlled the second half, outscoring Czechia 32-22 across the final two quarters.

Cecilia Zandalasini led Italy with 19 points, 5 rebounds and 3 assists, while Matilde Villa scored 14 points. 

Offensively, Italy won 40% from the field, including 51.3% from the two point range and 66.7% from the free throw line, supported by their 13 assists. Defensively, they controlled the boards 42-32, limiting second chance opportunities and forced 18 turnovers. They also held Czechia to 38% overall shooting.

Italy’s win gives them valuable momentum, but will need to repeat their defensive discipline while improving their 20.8% three point shooting. Zandalasini’s scoring and Lorela Cubaj’s interior presence will be crucial.

USA

USA Women made a commanding start to their FIBA Women’s Basketball World Cup 2026 campaign, defeating China 94-61 in Berlin. The Americans established control immediately, winning the opening quarter 27-14 and never surrendering the lead.

Caitlin Clark orchestrated the offense brilliantly in her World Cup debut, finishing with 14 points and 11 assists while earning Player of the Game honors. Rhyne Howard and Paige Bueckers also added 14 points each. 

Offensively, USA shot 45% from the field, including 50% on two pointers and 37.5% from three point range. Defensively, they held China to just 32% shooting overall and 26.3% from deep. USA also controlled the boards (47-41), limiting second chance opportunities and forced 16 turnovers. 

Overall, USA combined efficient shooting, relentless defense and Clark’s playmaking to underline their status as one of the tournament’s strongest contenders. 

Italy vs USA Starting Lineups

Italy vs USA Match Prediction & Analysis

Italy enter their matchup with the USA after beating Czechia 63-54, but face a major step up in quality. Zandalasini and Villa must lead the offense while Italy’s defense needs to contain Caitlin Clark and USA’s deep attack. 

USA’s athleticism, shooting and defensive pressure make them strong favorites to control the game and secure another Group D victory.

In their last two head-to-head matchups, both teams have won one match each. 

Italy vs USA Player Stats

ITALY vs USA
Winning Prediction

USA’s superior depth, athleticism and perimeter pressure should eventually separate them. We are backing the USA women to win this matchup. 

USA women to win and cover the spread (-30.5).

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