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China vs Philippines, Basketball Mens Asian Games, 2026, Today Match Prediction

Aichi International Arena

Can China outclass Philippines?

  • China averages 80.0% home wins, with 78.2 points per game.
  • The Philippines averages 20.0% away wins, with 76.5 points per game.
  • In the last five matches, China have 3 wins, 2 losses, Philippines have won 2, 3 losses.

Tournament: Basketball Mens Asian Games, 2026 | Venue: Aichi International Arena | Tip Off: 09:30:00

Live Streaming: DAZN

China to win.

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China vs Philippines Basteball Odds

Bookmaker Team A Team B
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Teams Preview

China

China dominated Kazakhstan 99–61, making a commanding start to their Asian Games campaign.

Pang Zhenglin came up big offensively, contributing 17 points, 4 assists, while teammate Yu Jiahao added 17 points, 6 rebounds, 2 assists. Liao Sanning with 10 points, 2 rebounds, 9 assists. Li Hongquan defended the paint with 9 rebounds, 16 points, and 3 assists.

Offensively, China shot 57.4% from the field including 33.3% from deep, and 71.4% from the free throw line, with 21 assists. On the defensive end they outrebounded 44-23, with 8 steals, 5 blocks.

China’s 99–61 win over Kazakhstan gives them strong momentum heading into their next game. The dominant performance should boost confidence, while their defensive intensity and offensive depth will be key strengths. China can carry this momentum forward, but they must maintain focus against stronger opposition.

Philippines

The Philippines suffered a narrow 89–85 defeat to Bahrain in their Asian Games Group C opener. Despite Calvin Oftana’s 31-point performance.

Calvin John Oftana drove the game forward, scoring 31 points, 2 rebounds, Adrian Clarence Nocum added 14 points, 7 rebounds, 5 assists. Justine Baltazar put up 10 points, 6 rebounds, 2 assists. Celedonio Don Trollano defended the paint with 9 points, 8 rebounds, 4 assists.

Offensively, Philippines scored 38.3% from the field goal, including 29.4% from the three-point line and 72.2% from the free throw line, with 26 assists. Defensively, they secured the board 51-35, with 5 steals, and 1 block.

The 85–89 loss to Bahrain puts the Philippines under pressure, but they have a quick chance to respond against Kazakhstan on September 12. They will need to improve defensively while maintaining their offensive production. A win is important for building momentum and strengthening their position in Group C.

China vs Philippines Starting Lineups

Position Player Name
PG Pang Zhenglin
SG Liao Sanning
SF Hu Jinqiu
PF Li Hongquan
C Yu Jiahao
Position Player Name
PG Adrian Clarence Nocum
SG Celedonio Don Trollano
SF Calvin John Oftana
PF Justine Baltazar
C Zavier Vicente Lucero

China face the Philippines on September 14 in the final Group C game of the 2026 Asian Games. China will enter with confidence after their strong start against Kazakhstan, while the Philippines will look to respond after their narrow defeat to Bahrain. With both teams targeting a strong group-stage finish, this should be a highly competitive matchup.

In their last five head-to-head matchups, China has won 2 matches, while Philippines has won 3 matches. 

China vs Philippines Player Stats

Player Name Points Rebounds Assists Steals/Blocks
Pang Zhenglin 16.6 2.7 5.3 0.7/0.1
Calvin John Oftana 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0/0.0

China’s size, depth and strong opening performance against Kazakhstan give them the edge. However, the Philippines have enough perimeter scoring and experience to keep the game competitive, especially after their narrow loss to Bahrain. The matchup should remain close before China pulls away late.

China to win.

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Author: Vishnu Reddy